Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Calvin Hemery		Patrick Kypson

	1	2
	5	1.17	Watch
	3.4	1.27	Watch
	3.05	1.32	Watch
	3.27	1.31	Watch
	2.62	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.47)	1.3 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvin Hemery
27.2%

Patrick Kypson
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Calvin Hemery's form might have worsened.

Patrick Kypson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Patrick Kypson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calvin Hemery, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrick Kypson than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patrick Kypson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Calvin Hemery - Patrick Kypson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hemery is ranked ATP: 201. Kypson is ranked ATP: 189.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Hemery may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kypson will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hemery won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Remy Bertola - Calvin Hemery	Hemery C. retired ✺
09.09.25	Maxime Janvier - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
05.09.25	Luca Potenza - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Mert Naci Turker - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Peter Makk - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ??LWW
- Patrick Kypson
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Patrick Kypson - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Lukas Klein - Patrick Kypson	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Patrick Kypson - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Patrick Kypson - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Martin Landaluce - Patrick Kypson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.12.24	Calvin Hemery - Patrick Kypson	0:2
15.04.24	Calvin Hemery - Patrick Kypson	2:0

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