Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Fayetteville, AR, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Raphael Perot		Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes

	1	2
	1.51	2.5
	1.42	2.58	Watch
	1.46	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.34)	2.55 ↓ (3.07)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Perot
63.5%

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Perot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Raphael Perot's form might have worsened.

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Perot than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raphael Perot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Raphael Perot - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Perot is ranked ATP: 625. Alvarez Valdes is ranked ATP: 598.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Perot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Perot is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Perot
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Andrew Fenty - Raphael Perot	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Michal Novansky - Raphael Perot	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Pietro Pampanin - Raphael Perot	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Cooper Williams - Raphael Perot	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.08.25	Raphael Perot - Vincent Marysko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLL
- Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Alexander Kotzen	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Orel Kimhi	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Timo Legout	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
13.09.25	Daniil Glinka - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Mark Lajal - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWW?L

Raphael Perot - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide