Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Raphael Perot		Stefan Kozlov

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.05	1.65	Watch
	2.31	1.66
	2.19	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.46)	1.62 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Perot
42.4%

Stefan Kozlov
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Perot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Stefan Kozlov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Perot than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raphael Perot that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefan Kozlov than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefan Kozlov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Raphael Perot - Stefan Kozlov Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Perot will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Kozlov will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Perot: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kozlov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Perot is ranked ATP: 408. Kozlov is ranked ATP: 260.

Perot has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kozlov has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Perot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kozlov might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Perot won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Perot
ITF Tournaments
21.03.26	Raphael Perot - Gauthier Onclin	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Raphael Perot - Tom Paris	Paris T. retired ✺
19.03.26	Raphael Perot - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Raphael Perot - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Raphael Perot - Filippo Romano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 L?WWL
- Stefan Kozlov
ATP Challenger
31.03.26	Stefan Kozlov - Alan Magadan	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Stefan Kozlov - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Stefan Kozlov - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Stefan Kozlov - Alan Magadan	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Stefan Kozlov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.02.26	Stefan Kozlov - Raphael Perot	2:1

Raphael Perot - Stefan Kozlov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide