Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: MIDLAND (USA), HARD (INDOOR)

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Rebecca Marino		Kayla Day

	1	2
	2.1	1.7
	1.98	1.75
	2.12	1.75
	1.91	1.8
	2.01	1.79	Watch
	1.9	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.72)	1.78 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebecca Marino
47.1%

Kayla Day
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebecca Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rebecca Marino's form might have worsened.

Kayla Day has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kayla Day's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Marino than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rebecca Marino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayla Day than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kayla Day, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Marino is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Day is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Marino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Day to win the game is with odds 2.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rebecca Marino
WTA Beijing
29.09.23	Lucia Bronzetti - Rebecca Marino	2:1 ✺
WTA Ningbo
23.09.23	Rebecca Marino - Valeria Savinykh	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Rebecca Marino - Shuo Feng	2:1 ✺
WTA Guangzhou
19.09.23	Rebecca Marino - Viktorija Golubic	0:2 ✺
WTA Osaka
13.09.23	Elizabeth Mandlik - Rebecca Marino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Kayla Day
ITF Tournaments
29.10.23	Emma Navarro - Kayla Day	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Ayana Akli - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
27.10.23	Maria Kozyreva - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
26.10.23	Amelia Rajecki - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
25.10.23	Alexandra Vecic - Kayla Day	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWW

Rebecca Marino - Kayla Day: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide