Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tampico (Mexico), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday


	Rebecca Marino		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.56	2.48
	1.58	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.59	2.27	Watch
	1.59	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.77)	2.3 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebecca Marino
59.3%

Maria Lourdes Carle
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebecca Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rebecca Marino's performance.

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Lourdes Carle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebecca Marino than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+3%)

Rebecca Marino - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marino is ranked WTA: 118. Carle is ranked WTA: 87.

Marino in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Carle is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Marino to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rebecca Marino
ATP Challenger
22.10.24	Rebecca Marino - Jessica Hinojosa Gomez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.10.24	Anna Sinclair Rogers - Rebecca Marino	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Cadence Brace - Rebecca Marino	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Anouk Koevermans - Rebecca Marino	0:2 ✺
17.10.24	Ayumi Koshiishi - Rebecca Marino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
22.10.24	Alina Korneeva - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Lea Ma - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Maria Kozyreva - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Maria Timofeeva - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1 ✺
08.10.24	Nina Stojanovic - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW

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