Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tampico (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Alina Korneeva		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.53	2.54
	1.56	2.45	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.59	2.27	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.65)	2.35 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alina Korneeva
60.1%

Maria Lourdes Carle
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alina Korneeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Korneeva than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Alina Korneeva - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Users Predictions: Alina Korneeva will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Korneeva is ranked WTA: 259. Carle is ranked WTA: 88.

Two players are playing changeable.

Korneeva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Korneeva will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Korneeva
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Alina Korneeva - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Louisa Chirico - Alina Korneeva	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Alina Korneeva - Anastasia Zakharova	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Alina Korneeva - Francisca Jorge	2:1 ✺
20.09.24	Petra Martic - Alina Korneeva	Martic P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWW?
- Maria Lourdes Carle
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Lea Ma - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Maria Kozyreva - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Maria Timofeeva - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1 ✺
08.10.24	Nina Stojanovic - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Kathinka Von Deichmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL

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