Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Guadalajara (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday


	Rebecca Marino		Renata Zarazua

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.06	1.69	Watch
	2.2	1.69
	2.16	1.7	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.38	1.55	Watch
	2.06	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.25)	1.69 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebecca Marino
44.5%

Renata Zarazua
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebecca Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Renata Zarazua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebecca Marino than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Rebecca Marino - Renata Zarazua Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Marino will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Zarazua will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marino: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marino is ranked WTA: 139. Zarazua is ranked WTA: 92.

Two players are playing changeable.

Zarazua could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rebecca Marino
WTA US Open
21.08.24	Rebecca Marino - Arianne Hartono	0:2 ✺
20.08.24	Rebecca Marino - Ysaline Bonaventure	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.08.24	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Rebecca Marino	2:0 ✺
14.08.24	Rebecca Marino - McCartney Kessler	2:1 ✺
WTA Toronto
07.08.24	Magda Linette - Rebecca Marino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWL
- Renata Zarazua
WTA US Open
29.08.24	Caroline Wozniacki - Renata Zarazua	2:0 ✺
27.08.24	Renata Zarazua - Caroline Garcia	2:0 ✺
WTA Monterrey
21.08.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Renata Zarazua	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Victoria Rodriguez - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.08.24	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Renata Zarazua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.01.19	Rebecca Marino - Renata Zarazua	0:2

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