Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday


	Rebecca Sramkova		Hailey Baptiste

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.83
	1.85	1.85
	1.91	1.91
	1.92	1.92
	2	1.73
	1.93	1.81	Watch
	1.92	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.86)	1.85 ↓ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebecca Sramkova
49%

Hailey Baptiste
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebecca Sramkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Hailey Baptiste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Rebecca Sramkova - Hailey Baptiste Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sramkova will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Baptiste will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sramkova: 25.1% – 83.9%.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Sramkova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Madrid
22.04.24	Clara Tauson - Rebecca Sramkova	Tauson C. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
16.04.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Leolia Jeanjean	Canceled ✺
05.04.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Rebeka Masarova	1:2 ✺
03.04.24	Kristina Mladenovic - Rebecca Sramkova	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ??LWW
- Hailey Baptiste
WTA Madrid
22.04.24	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Hailey Baptiste	1:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
04.04.24	Marie Bouzkova - Hailey Baptiste	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Tamara Zidansek - Hailey Baptiste	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.24	Robin Montgomery - Hailey Baptiste	2:0 ✺
25.03.24	Maria Fernanda Navarro - Hailey Baptiste	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW

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