Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Puerto Vallarta (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday


	Rebeka Masarova		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.18
	1.65	2.12	Watch
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.64	2.18	Watch
	1.58	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.52)	2.16 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebeka Masarova
56.8%

Varvara Lepchenko
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebeka Masarova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebeka Masarova than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rebeka Masarova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Lepchenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rebeka Masarova - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Rebeka Masarova will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Masarova is ranked WTA: 168. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 120.

Masarova is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lepchenko is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lepchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rebeka Masarova
WTA Miami
22.03.25	Rebeka Masarova - Danielle Collins	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Donna Vekic - Rebeka Masarova	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Rebeka Masarova - Greetje Minnen	2:1 ✺
17.03.25	Maya Joint - Rebeka Masarova	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Rebeka Masarova - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 LWWWW
- Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Miami
16.03.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Yulia Starodubtseva	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
06.03.25	Sonay Kartal - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Taylor Townsend - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Anca Alexia Todoni	2:0 ✺
WTA Merida
23.02.25	Daria Saville - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWL

Rebeka Masarova - Varvara Lepchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide