Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday


	Sonay Kartal		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.35	3.2	Watch
	1.37	3.29
	1.34	3.18	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.37	3.11	Watch
	1.35	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.49)	3.17 ↑ (2.64)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonay Kartal
70%

Varvara Lepchenko
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonay Kartal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sonay Kartal's performance.

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varvara Lepchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonay Kartal than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sonay Kartal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Lepchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Sonay Kartal - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kartal will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Lepchenko will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kartal: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kartal is ranked WTA: 83. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 124.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Lepchenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kartal is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sonay Kartal
WTA Indian Wells
04.03.25	Sonay Kartal - Clervie Ngounoue	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Sonay Kartal - Marina Stakusic	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
08.02.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Sonay Kartal	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Chloe Paquet - Sonay Kartal	0:2 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
03.02.25	Sonay Kartal - Katie Volynets	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL
- Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Indian Wells
04.03.25	Taylor Townsend - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Anca Alexia Todoni	2:0 ✺
WTA Merida
23.02.25	Daria Saville - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Valeriya Strakhova - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.02.25	Selena Janicijevic - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWLWL

Sonay Kartal - Varvara Lepchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide