Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	Rei Sakamoto		Li Tu

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.32	3.67
	1.30	3.29	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.29	3.27	Watch
	1.28	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)	3.31 ↑ (3.16)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
71.7%

Li Tu
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Li Tu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Rei Sakamoto - Li Tu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 174. Tu is ranked ATP: 415.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Tu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sakamoto is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakamoto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
11.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Colin Sinclair	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW
- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
11.02.26	Li Tu - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Li Tu - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Li Tu - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Canceled
03.02.26	Li Tu - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Matt Hulme - Li Tu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.11.23	Rei Sakamoto - Li Tu	0:2

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