Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 SHARM ELSHEIKH 3 (EGYPT), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 16 February 2024, Friday


	Rei Sakamoto		Marek Gengel

	1	2
	2.85	1.36
	3.05	1.32
	3	1.36
	2.83	1.39	Watch
	2.55	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.22)	1.37 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
32.5%

Marek Gengel
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rei Sakamoto's form might have worsened.

Marek Gengel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marek Gengel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marek Gengel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Rei Sakamoto - Marek Gengel Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sakamoto will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gengel will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

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Preview

Two players got a triumph in the latest matches.

Sakamoto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gengel is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gengel to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ITF Tournaments
15.02.24	Antoine Ghibaudo - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
14.02.24	Rei Sakamoto - Aliaksandr Liaonenka	2:0 ✺
08.02.24	Rei Sakamoto - Federico Bondioli	Sakamoto R. retired ✺
07.02.24	Luca Giacomini - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
Boys Singles Australian Open
26.01.24	Jan Kumstat - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WW?WW
- Marek Gengel
ITF Tournaments
15.02.24	Marek Gengel - Amaury Raynel	2:1 ✺
14.02.24	Marek Gengel - Alec Beckley	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Marek Gengel - Oliver Ojakaar	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Marek Gengel - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
09.02.24	Marek Gengel - Emile Hudd	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW

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