Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 July 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Haigh R. (Gbr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 2


	Reilly Opelka		Jordan Thompson

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.78	2	Watch
	1.83	2.09
	1.82	2.04	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.8	2.02	Watch
	1.78	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.1)	2.03 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
53.1%

Jordan Thompson
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reilly Opelka's performance.

Jordan Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jordan Thompson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reilly Opelka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jordan Thompson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Reilly Opelka - Jordan Thompson Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Opelka: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Opelka is ranked ATP: 371. Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 33.

Two players are playing changeable.

Jordan Thompson could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Opelka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Washington
29.07.24	Reilly Opelka - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
ATP Atlanta
25.07.24	Reilly Opelka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
24.07.24	Reilly Opelka - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Newport
20.07.24	Reilly Opelka - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
18.07.24	Reilly Opelka - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW
- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Atlanta
28.07.24	Jordan Thompson - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Juncheng Shang - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
26.07.24	Jordan Thompson - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
25.07.24	Jordan Thompson - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Jordan Thompson	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Sydney
11.01.22	Jordan Thompson - Reilly Opelka	0:2
ATP Challenger
10.06.17	Reilly Opelka - Jordan Thompson	0:2

Reilly Opelka - Jordan Thompson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide