Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Monterrey, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday


	Renata Zarazua		Ajla Tomljanovic

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.11	1.71	Watch
	2.21	1.71
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.12	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2)	1.7 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renata Zarazua
44.2%

Ajla Tomljanovic
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renata Zarazua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Ajla Tomljanovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renata Zarazua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajla Tomljanovic than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajla Tomljanovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Renata Zarazua - Ajla Tomljanovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Zarazua will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Tomljanovic will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zarazua: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Zarazua (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tomljanovic (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Zarazua (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Zarazua (votes: 6 - 75%). Tomljanovic (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zarazua is ranked WTA: 70. Tomljanovic is ranked WTA: 86.

In recent matches, Zarazua has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tomljanovic's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zarazua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Renata Zarazua - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.37%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renata Zarazua
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Renata Zarazua	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	Renata Zarazua - Yulia Putintseva	2:1 ✺
WTA Montreal
30.07.25	Renata Zarazua - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
28.07.25	Katie Boulter - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.25	Renata Zarazua - Amanda Anisimova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWL
- Ajla Tomljanovic
WTA Cincinnati
10.08.25	Clara Tauson - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Anna Bondar - Ajla Tomljanovic	0:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
28.07.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Anastasija Sevastova	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
30.06.25	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:1 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
23.06.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Linda Noskova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Ajla Tomljanovic - Renata Zarazua	Tomljanovic A. retired
25.11.23	Ajla Tomljanovic - Renata Zarazua	2:0
WTA Charleston 2
12.04.21	Ajla Tomljanovic - Renata Zarazua	2:0
WTA Bogota
11.04.18	Renata Zarazua - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:1

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