Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday


	Katie Boulter		Renata Zarazua

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.39	3.2
	1.33	3.26	Watch
	1.3	3.5
	1.36	3.17	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.84)	3.08 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katie Boulter
68.6%

Renata Zarazua
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katie Boulter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katie Boulter's performance.

Renata Zarazua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Renata Zarazua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katie Boulter than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katie Boulter that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Renata Zarazua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Katie Boulter - Renata Zarazua Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boulter (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Katie Boulter will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Boulter is ranked WTA: 41. Zarazua is ranked WTA: 71.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Zarazua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Boulter is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Renata Zarazua - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katie Boulter
WTA Washington
21.07.25	Maria Sakkari - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.25	Katie Boulter - Solana Sierra	1:2 ✺
30.06.25	Paula Badosa - Katie Boulter	1:2 ✺
WTA Nottingham
20.06.25	McCartney Kessler - Katie Boulter	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Sonay Kartal - Katie Boulter	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWLW
- Renata Zarazua
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.25	Renata Zarazua - Amanda Anisimova	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Yanina Wickmayer - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
22.06.25	Greetje Minnen - Renata Zarazua	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Mika Stojsavljevic - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Renata Zarazua - Tereza Valentova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL

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