Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 11 January 2024, Thursday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Renata Zarazua		Destanee Aiava

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	2
	1.75	2	Watch
	1.81	2.02
	1.82	2.03
	1.73	2
	1.77	2.01	Watch
	1.76	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.63)	2.02 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renata Zarazua
53.3%

Destanee Aiava
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renata Zarazua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Destanee Aiava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renata Zarazua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Destanee Aiava than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Destanee Aiava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	0%	64.7%

Renata Zarazua - Destanee Aiava Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Zarazua will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Aiava will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aiava: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zarazua is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Aiava is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zarazua will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renata Zarazua
WTA Australian Open
10.01.24	Renata Zarazua - Jule Niemeier	2:1 ✺
09.01.24	Renata Zarazua - Jaimee Fourlis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.01.24	Renata Zarazua - Kaylah McPhee	1:2 ✺
10.12.23	Diane Parry - Renata Zarazua	1:2 ✺
09.12.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Renata Zarazua	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWW
- Destanee Aiava
WTA Australian Open
10.01.24	Destanee Aiava - Jil Belen Teichmann	2:1 ✺
09.01.24	Chloe Paquet - Destanee Aiava	0:2 ✺
WTA Auckland
29.12.23	Lulu Sun - Destanee Aiava	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.11.23	Destanee Aiava - Maddison Inglis	Aiava D. retired ✺
23.11.23	Taylah Preston - Destanee Aiava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWL?L

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