Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: MONTEVIDEO (URUGUAY), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Renata Zarazua

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.69	2.17
	1.69	2.18
	1.62	2.2
	1.63	2.21	Watch
	1.65	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.75)	2.18 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
56.8%

Renata Zarazua
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Renata Zarazua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Maria Lourdes Carle - Renata Zarazua Predictions

Users Predictions: Renata Zarazua will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Zarazua could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
08.12.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
07.12.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Polona Hercog	2:0 ✺
06.12.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Valeriya Strakhova	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Laura Pigossi	0:2 ✺
02.12.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Julia Riera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW
- Renata Zarazua
ATP Challenger
08.12.23	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
07.12.23	Gabriela Lee - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
05.12.23	Haley Giavara - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
02.12.23	Renata Zarazua - Laura Pigossi	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Renata Zarazua - Elizabeth Mandlik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
16.04.22	Renata Zarazua - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2

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