Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Paris, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Renata Zarazua		Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.51	2.62
	1.71	2.09	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.48	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.8)	2.46 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renata Zarazua
61.7%

Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renata Zarazua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Renata Zarazua's performance.

Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Renata Zarazua that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Renata Zarazua - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zarazua is ranked WTA: 75. Rakotomanga Rajaonah is ranked WTA: 159.

Zarazua has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rakotomanga Rajaonah has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zarazua won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Renata Zarazua - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.63%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renata Zarazua
WTA Roma
04.05.26	Renata Zarazua - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Renata Zarazua - Ayana Akli	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Renata Zarazua - Martina Capurro Taborda	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Renata Zarazua - Elizabeth Mandlik	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Renata Zarazua - Gina Feistel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWW
- Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
ATP Challenger
04.05.26	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Alice Tubello	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Lilli Tagger	0:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
14.04.26	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	1:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
31.03.26	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Sara Sorribes Tormo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Sao Paulo
13.09.25	Renata Zarazua - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	0:2

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