Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday


	Renta Tokuda		Kenta Miyoshi

	1	2
	2.65	1.40
	2.7	1.42
	2.87	1.41
	2.71	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.39
	2.69	1.41	Watch
	2.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.42)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renta Tokuda
34%

Kenta Miyoshi
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renta Tokuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Kenta Miyoshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renta Tokuda than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renta Tokuda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kenta Miyoshi than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kenta Miyoshi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Renta Tokuda - Kenta Miyoshi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tokuda is ranked ATP: 418. Miyoshi is ranked ATP: 817.

Tokuda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Miyoshi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tokuda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Miyoshi could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Miyoshi will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renta Tokuda
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Renta Tokuda - Sasha Rozin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.06.26	Renta Tokuda - Naoki Nakagawa	Tokuda R. Retired ✺
17.06.26	Renta Tokuda - Shunsuke Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Renta Tokuda - Ryota Tanuma	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Renta Tokuda - Shu Matsuoka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 L?WWL
- Kenta Miyoshi
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Blaise Bicknell - Kenta Miyoshi	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Karl Poling - Kenta Miyoshi	1:2 ✺
12.07.26	Kenta Miyoshi - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.07.26	Keegan Rice - Kenta Miyoshi	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Kenta Miyoshi - Timo Legout	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW

Renta Tokuda - Kenta Miyoshi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide