Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Renta Tokuda		Marat Sharipov

	1	2
			Watch
	3.25	1.3	Watch
	3.59	1.31
	3.32	1.28	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.35	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.41)	1.3 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renta Tokuda
27.9%

Marat Sharipov
72.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renta Tokuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Renta Tokuda's form might have worsened.

Marat Sharipov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marat Sharipov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renta Tokuda than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renta Tokuda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marat Sharipov than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marat Sharipov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Renta Tokuda - Marat Sharipov Predictions

Users Predictions: Marat Sharipov will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tokuda is ranked ATP: 326. Sharipov is ranked ATP: 387.

In recent matches, Tokuda has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sharipov is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tokuda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sharipov could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Sharipov will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Marat Sharipov - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.67%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renta Tokuda
ATP Challenger
18.04.26	Renta Tokuda - Woobin Shin	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Renta Tokuda - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	Renta Tokuda - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Renta Tokuda - Ku Keon Kang	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Renta Tokuda - Yu Hsiou Hsu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL
- Marat Sharipov
ATP Challenger
18.04.26	Omar Jasika - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Marat Sharipov - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Yuta Shimizu - Marat Sharipov	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Ji Sung Nam - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWW

Renta Tokuda - Marat Sharipov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide