Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tashkent, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Renta Tokuda		Vladyslav Orlov

	1	2
	1.53	2.3
	1.53	2.44
	1.55	2.39	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.56	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.73)	2.36 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renta Tokuda
60.5%

Vladyslav Orlov
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renta Tokuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Renta Tokuda's performance.

Vladyslav Orlov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vladyslav Orlov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renta Tokuda than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Renta Tokuda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vladyslav Orlov than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vladyslav Orlov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Renta Tokuda - Vladyslav Orlov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tokuda is ranked ATP: 800. Orlov is ranked ATP: 635.

Tokuda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Orlov has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tokuda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tokuda might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renta Tokuda
ITF Tournaments
23.05.25	Lorenzo Lorusso - Renta Tokuda	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Aayush P Bhat - Renta Tokuda	0:2 ✺
14.05.25	Johannus Monday - Renta Tokuda	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Edward Winter - Renta Tokuda	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Shintaro Imai - Renta Tokuda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL
- Vladyslav Orlov
ITF Tournaments
22.05.25	Maxim Groysman - Vladyslav Orlov	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	Yuvan Nandal - Vladyslav Orlov	Canceled ✺
13.05.25	Amit Vales - Vladyslav Orlov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.04.25	Vladyslav Orlov - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Vladyslav Orlov - Dan Martin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 W?LLL

Renta Tokuda - Vladyslav Orlov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide