Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PERUGIA (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 12 June 2023, Monday


	Renzo Olivo		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.25
	1.59	2.32
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2.13)	2.25 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renzo Olivo
58.7%

Stefano Napolitano
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renzo Olivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Renzo Olivo's performance.

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefano Napolitano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renzo Olivo than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Renzo Olivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano Napolitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Renzo Olivo - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: Renzo Olivo will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

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Preview

Recent matches Olivo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Napolitano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Napolitano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Olivo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renzo Olivo
ATP Challenger
11.06.23	Renzo Olivo - Robert Strombachs	2:0 ✺
02.06.23	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Renzo Olivo	2:0 ✺
31.05.23	Renzo Olivo - Seong Chan Hong	2:1 ✺
28.05.23	Renzo Olivo - Jose Pereira	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.23	Renzo Olivo - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLL
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
11.06.23	Stefano Napolitano - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.06.23	Julian Ocleppo - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
10.06.23	Andrey Chepelev - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
09.06.23	Emilien Voisin - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
08.06.23	Gianluca Di Nicola - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWW

Renzo Olivo - Stefano Napolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide