Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday


	Richard Gasquet		Arthur Fery

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.81	1.9
	1.89	1.94
	1.83	1.93	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.82	1.9	Watch
	1.81	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.55)	1.9 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richard Gasquet
50.8%

Arthur Fery
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richard Gasquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Richard Gasquet's form might have worsened.

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Fery's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richard Gasquet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Fery, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Richard Gasquet - Arthur Fery Predictions

Users Predictions: Richard Gasquet will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match Norway is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Norway won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 72:58

Last Results with these Odds

Richard Gasquet - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.74%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richard Gasquet
ATP Challenger
19.02.25	Richard Gasquet - Charles Broom	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
11.02.25	Alexander Bublik - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
30.01.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Richard Gasquet	2:1 ✺
28.01.25	Adrian Mannarino - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
06.01.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWL
- Arthur Fery
ATP Challenger
18.02.25	Fajing Sun - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.02.25	Arthur Fery - George Loffhagen	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Arthur Fery - Anton Matusevich	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Arthur Fery - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Rudolf Molleker - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.09.23	Richard Gasquet - Arthur Fery	2:1

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