Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAN BENEDETTO (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 12 July 2023, Wednesday


	Richard Gasquet		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.7	2.1
	1.72	2.16
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.08	Watch
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.63)	2.11 ↓ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richard Gasquet
55.6%

Luca Nardi
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richard Gasquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Richard Gasquet - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Gasquet will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Nardi will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gasquet is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nardi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richard Gasquet
ATP Challenger
11.07.23	Richard Gasquet - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Corentin Moutet - Richard Gasquet	3:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
26.06.23	Jordan Thompson - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
20.06.23	Richard Gasquet - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
16.06.23	Richard Gasquet - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
10.07.23	Marc Polmans - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
07.07.23	Matteo Gigante - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
06.07.23	Luca Nardi - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
04.07.23	Marcello Serafini - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.23	Taro Daniel - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWL

Richard Gasquet - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide