Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MATSUYAMA (JAPAN), HARD - FINAL

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Taro Daniel		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.45	2.6
	1.5	2.71
	1.5	2.72
	1.5	2.5
	1.48	2.56	Watch
	1.49	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.54)	2.61 ↑ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taro Daniel
63.8%

Luca Nardi
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taro Daniel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Taro Daniel - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Daniel will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Nardi will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Daniel in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nardi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Daniel will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Daniel to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Daniel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taro Daniel
ATP Challenger
11.11.23	Taro Daniel - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
10.11.23	Taro Daniel - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:1 ✺
08.11.23	Taro Daniel - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
07.11.23	Taro Daniel - Shunsuke Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Marc Polmans - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
11.11.23	Luca Nardi - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
10.11.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	James McCabe - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
06.11.23	Seong Chan Hong - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
23.10.23	Liam Broady - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
28.06.23	Taro Daniel - Luca Nardi	2:0

Taro Daniel - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide