Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maanshan 8, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	Rigele Te		Chase Ferguson

	1	2
	1.48	2.40
	1.58	2.23
	1.52	2.58
	1.48	2.44	Watch
	1.52	2.45
	1.49	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.56)	2.42 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rigele Te
61.5%

Chase Ferguson
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rigele Te has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Chase Ferguson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rigele Te than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rigele Te that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chase Ferguson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rigele Te - Chase Ferguson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Te is ranked ATP: 1068. Ferguson is ranked ATP: 640.

Te is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Ferguson has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ferguson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Te might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Te won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rigele Te
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Joshua Charlton - Rigele Te	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Rigele Te - Xirui Han	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Anmar Faleh Alhogbani - Rigele Te	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Isaac Becroft - Rigele Te	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Rigele Te - Daniil Sarksian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLW
- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Chase Ferguson - Fumin Jiang	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Chase Ferguson - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Chase Ferguson - Yua Taka	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Yunseong Chung - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Lachlan McFadzean - Chase Ferguson	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.03.26	Chase Ferguson - Rigele Te	0:2
29.05.24	Rigele Te - Chase Ferguson	2:0
07.07.22	Rigele Te - Chase Ferguson	2:0

Rigele Te - Chase Ferguson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide