Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Brisbane 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 July 2026, Monday


	Lachlan McFadzean		Chase Ferguson

	1	2
	3.09	1.38
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	3.05	1.36
	2.99	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.19)	1.36 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lachlan McFadzean
31.1%

Chase Ferguson
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lachlan McFadzean has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lachlan McFadzean's form might have worsened.

Chase Ferguson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chase Ferguson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lachlan McFadzean than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lachlan McFadzean, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chase Ferguson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lachlan McFadzean - Chase Ferguson Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferguson (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Ferguson (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferguson (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McFadzean is ranked ATP: 1130. Ferguson is ranked ATP: 640.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

McFadzean may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lachlan McFadzean
ITF Tournaments
22.07.26	Lachlan McFadzean - Daniel Jovanovski	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Lachlan McFadzean - Ethan Domingo	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Shinji Hazawa - Lachlan McFadzean	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Lachlan McFadzean - Shintaro Imai	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Grigoriy Lomakin - Lachlan McFadzean	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW
- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
23.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Duje Markovina	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Derek Pham	2:1 ✺
20.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Scott Jones	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Jake Delaney	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Chase Ferguson - Mustafa Ege Sik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLW

Lachlan McFadzean - Chase Ferguson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide