Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Qian Daohu, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Rina Saigo		Misaki Matsuda

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.49	2.57
	2.96	1.33	Watch
	1.49	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.58)	2.18 ↓ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rina Saigo
53.8%

Misaki Matsuda
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rina Saigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rina Saigo's form might have worsened.

Misaki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Misaki Matsuda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rina Saigo than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rina Saigo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Misaki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Misaki Matsuda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rina Saigo - Misaki Matsuda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Saigo is ranked WTA: 356. Matsuda is ranked WTA: 586.

Saigo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Matsuda has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Saigo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Saigo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rina Saigo
ITF Tournaments
22.10.25	Rina Saigo - Anchisa Chanta	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Rina Saigo - Honoka Kobayashi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Rina Saigo - Yexin Ma	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Lea Ma - Rina Saigo	1:2 ✺
22.09.25	Rina Saigo - Fangran Tian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW
- Misaki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Kristiana Sidorova - Misaki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Misaki Matsuda - Xinxin Yao	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Misaki Matsuda - Yeon Woo Ku	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Ayumi Koshiishi - Misaki Matsuda	1:2 ✺
01.09.25	Yeon Woo Ku - Misaki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.08.25	Rina Saigo - Misaki Matsuda	2:1
20.06.25	Misaki Matsuda - Rina Saigo	0:2

Rina Saigo - Misaki Matsuda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide