Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Lea Ma		Rina Saigo

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.81	2.02
	1.66	2.14	Watch
	1.75	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.62)	2.03 ↓ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lea Ma
53.9%

Rina Saigo
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lea Ma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Rina Saigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lea Ma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rina Saigo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rina Saigo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lea Ma - Rina Saigo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ma is ranked WTA: 334. Saigo is ranked WTA: 391.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ma might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lea Ma
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Arianne Hartono - Lea Ma	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Lea Ma - Ying Zhang	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Lea Ma - Fang Ying Xun	2:0 ✺
WTA Monterrey
16.08.25	Lulu Sun - Lea Ma	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.08.25	Lea Ma - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL
- Rina Saigo
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Rina Saigo - Fangran Tian	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.09.25	Rina Saigo - Jana Kolodynska	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Yeon Woo Ku - Rina Saigo	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Rina Saigo - Fangran Tian	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Rina Saigo - Monique Barry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWW

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