Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 June 2025, Wednesday


	Rinky Hijikata		Daniel Evans

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.55	2.43	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.73)	2.61 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rinky Hijikata
63.8%

Daniel Evans
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rinky Hijikata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rinky Hijikata's performance.

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Evans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rinky Hijikata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Evans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Rinky Hijikata - Daniel Evans Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Hijikata will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Evans will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Evans: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Hijikata (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Evans (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hijikata is ranked ATP: 75. Evans is ranked ATP: 217.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Hijikata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hijikata will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hijikata won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Colton Smith - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Rinky Hijikata - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Rinky Hijikata - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
02.06.25	Rinky Hijikata - Billy Harris	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Reilly Opelka - Rinky Hijikata	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWL
- Daniel Evans
ATP Hertogenbosch
09.06.25	Daniel Evans - Mees Rottgering	2:1 ✺
08.06.25	Adam Walton - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Daniel Evans - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Daniel Evans - Clement Tabur	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Billy Harris - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Adelaide
09.01.24	Rinky Hijikata - Daniel Evans	0:2

Rinky Hijikata - Daniel Evans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide