Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday


	Rinky Hijikata		Lucas Pouille

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.64	2.31
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.63	2.21	Watch
	1.65	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2)	2.21 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rinky Hijikata
57.5%

Lucas Pouille
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rinky Hijikata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rinky Hijikata's performance.

Lucas Pouille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Pouille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rinky Hijikata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Pouille than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Pouille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Rinky Hijikata - Lucas Pouille Predictions

Users Predictions: Rinky Hijikata will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Hijikata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Acapulco
25.02.24	Rinky Hijikata - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Rinky Hijikata - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
21.02.24	Rinky Hijikata - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
20.02.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
16.02.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWL
- Lucas Pouille
ATP Challenger
29.02.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Lucas Pouille	2:1 ✺
27.02.24	Lloyd Harris - Lucas Pouille	0:2 ✺
23.02.24	Otto Virtanen - Lucas Pouille	2:0 ✺
22.02.24	Lucas Pouille - Hazem Naw	2:0 ✺
20.02.24	Gijs Brouwer - Lucas Pouille	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWW

Rinky Hijikata - Lucas Pouille: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide