Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SEOUL (SOUTH KOREA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday


	Rinky Hijikata		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.62	2.25
	1.67	2.26
	1.62	2.2
	1.59	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.34)	2.22 ↓ (3.03)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rinky Hijikata
57.8%

Sho Shimabukuro
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rinky Hijikata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rinky Hijikata's form might have worsened.

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sho Shimabukuro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rinky Hijikata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Rinky Hijikata - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Users Predictions: Rinky Hijikata will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hijikata is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Shimabukuro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hijikata will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Houston
01.04.23	Rinky Hijikata - Brandon Holt	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.23	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Rinky Hijikata	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Rinky Hijikata	2:1 ✺
14.03.23	Rinky Hijikata - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
13.03.23	Rinky Hijikata - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Sho Shimabukuro
ITF Tournaments
05.04.23	Issei Okamura - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
31.03.23	Dane Sweeny - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
30.03.23	Tatsuma Ito - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
29.03.23	Kokoro Isomura - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWW

Rinky Hijikata - Sho Shimabukuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide