Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Dublin - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday


	Rio Noguchi		Paul Jubb

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.3	1.52
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.04)	1.54 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
39.9%

Paul Jubb
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Noguchi's form might have worsened.

Paul Jubb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paul Jubb's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Noguchi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paul Jubb than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paul Jubb, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rio Noguchi - Paul Jubb Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 223. Jubb is ranked ATP: 325.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Jubb may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Noguchi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.31%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Paul Jubb - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.69%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
08.06.26	Rio Noguchi - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Rio Noguchi - Patrick Brady	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.05.26	Rio Noguchi - Jie Cui	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Fajing Sun - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW
- Paul Jubb
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Paul Jubb	2:1 ✺
08.06.26	Mark Lajal - Paul Jubb	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Max Basing - Paul Jubb	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.05.26	Paul Jubb - Patrick Brady	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Mert Alkaya - Paul Jubb	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.05.25	Rio Noguchi - Paul Jubb	2:0
ITF Tournaments
27.02.21	Rio Noguchi - Paul Jubb	0:2

Rio Noguchi - Paul Jubb: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide