Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang (China), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 August 2024, Friday

Referee: Du Y. (Chn)


	Rio Noguchi		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3	1.34
	3.1	1.32	Watch
	3.21	1.38
	3.17	1.36	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.13	1.34	Watch
	3.1	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.45)	1.34 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
29.9%

Mark Lajal
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Noguchi's form might have worsened.

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mark Lajal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Noguchi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mark Lajal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Rio Noguchi - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Lajal will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 302. Lajal is ranked ATP: 247.

Noguchi is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lajal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lajal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lajal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Noguchi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
27.08.24	Jie Cui - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Rio Noguchi - Mikalai Haliak	2:0 ✺
23.08.24	Rio Noguchi - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
23.08.24	Yuta Shimizu - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
22.08.24	Woobin Shin - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
27.08.24	Ryan Peniston - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Philip Henning - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
14.08.24	Mark Lajal - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
13.08.24	Mark Lajal - Giovanni Oradini	2:1 ✺
23.07.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.07.24	Mark Lajal - Rio Noguchi	2:0
16.07.24	Mark Lajal - Rio Noguchi	1:2

Rio Noguchi - Mark Lajal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide