Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Rio Noguchi		Mats Rosenkranz

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.04	1.74
	2.16	1.61	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.16	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.81)	1.66 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
44.1%

Mats Rosenkranz
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Noguchi's form might have worsened.

Mats Rosenkranz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mats Rosenkranz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Noguchi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mats Rosenkranz than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mats Rosenkranz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Rio Noguchi - Mats Rosenkranz Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Rosenkranz will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosenkranz: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosenkranz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 252. Rosenkranz is ranked ATP: 375.

Two players are playing changeable.

Rosenkranz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mats Rosenkranz - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.92%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
14.04.25	Adam Walton - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.03.25	Renta Tokuda - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Lingxi Zhao - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Rio Noguchi - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Rio Noguchi - Nino Ehrenschneider	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW
- Mats Rosenkranz
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Moerani Bouzige	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Fajing Sun - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.03.25	George Loffhagen - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	James Story - Mats Rosenkranz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLW

Rio Noguchi - Mats Rosenkranz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide