Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sharm ElSheikh 4 (Egypt), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday


	Robert Strombachs		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	3.1	1.3
	2.95	1.33
	3.02	1.34	Watch
	2.94	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.36)	1.33 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robert Strombachs
30.8%

Ilia Simakin
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robert Strombachs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Robert Strombachs's form might have worsened.

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilia Simakin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robert Strombachs than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Robert Strombachs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Robert Strombachs - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Strombachs is ranked ATP: 410. Simakin is ranked ATP: 417.

Strombachs is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Simakin in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Simakin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Simakin will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Simakin to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Strombachs won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Robert Strombachs - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.64%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Robert Strombachs
ITF Tournaments
24.10.24	Robert Strombachs - Mark Whitehouse	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Robert Strombachs - Amr Asrawy	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Ilia Simakin - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
18.10.24	Robert Strombachs - Amr Asrawy	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Robert Strombachs - Mwendwa Mbithi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW
- Ilia Simakin
ITF Tournaments
24.10.24	Oliver Ojakaar - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Mwendwa Mbithi - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Ilia Simakin - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Ilia Simakin - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
18.10.24	Ilia Simakin - Nino Ehrenschneider	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.10.24	Ilia Simakin - Robert Strombachs	2:1

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