The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Roberto Quiroz 67.3%
Ignacio Monzon 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
73%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.2%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roberto Quiroz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Quiroz's form might have worsened.
Ignacio Monzon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ignacio Monzon's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Quiroz than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Quiroz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Monzon than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ignacio Monzon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
0%
62.5%
Roberto Quiroz - Ignacio Monzon Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Quiroz will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Monzon will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Monzon: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
Quiroz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.