Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Casablanca, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 June 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Casablanca 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Rodrigo Alujas		Reda Bennani

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.31	1.57
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.22	1.6	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.83)	1.62 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodrigo Alujas
42.8%

Reda Bennani
57.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodrigo Alujas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rodrigo Alujas's form might have worsened.

Reda Bennani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reda Bennani's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Alujas than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodrigo Alujas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reda Bennani than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reda Bennani, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Alujas is ranked ATP: 800. Bennani is ranked ATP: 1021.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Alujas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Alujas
ITF Tournaments
18.06.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Adam Panaras	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
22.05.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Yuta Tomida - Rodrigo Alujas	1:2 ✺
16.05.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL
- Reda Bennani
ITF Tournaments
18.06.25	Reda Bennani - Karim Bennani	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Reda Bennani - Tymur Bieldiugin	1:2 ✺
15.05.25	Jack Loge - Reda Bennani	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Reda Bennani - Maximilian Homberg	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Luca Castagnola - Reda Bennani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Alujas
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Rodrigo Alujas - Tarun Karra	✺

Rodrigo Alujas - Reda Bennani

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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