Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25+H Tauste, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Roger Pascual Ferra		Tristan McCormick

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65
	1.54	2.37
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.49	2.47	Watch
	1.51	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.41)	2.55 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roger Pascual Ferra
63.6%

Tristan McCormick
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roger Pascual Ferra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Tristan McCormick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roger Pascual Ferra than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roger Pascual Ferra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tristan McCormick, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Pascual Ferra is ranked ATP: 781. McCormick is ranked ATP: 527.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Pascual Ferra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pascual Ferra could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roger Pascual Ferra
ITF Tournaments
19.07.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Roger Pascual Ferra	2:1 ✺
18.07.25	Roger Pascual Ferra - Bernardo Munk Mesa	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Enzo Wallart - Roger Pascual Ferra	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Matteo Lavizzari - Roger Pascual Ferra	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Roger Pascual Ferra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL
- Tristan McCormick
ITF Tournaments
01.08.25	Tristan McCormick - Mario Martinez Serrano	1:2 ✺
31.07.25	Tristan McCormick - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Tristan McCormick - Damir Zhalgasbay	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Tristan McCormick - Carles Hernandez	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan McCormick
ITF Tournaments
10.10.26	Tristan McCormick - Victor Bini	✺

Roger Pascual Ferra - Tristan McCormick: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide