Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday


	Roman Safiullin		Daniel Evans

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.25	Watch
	1.68	2.2
	1.71	2.25
	1.71	2.25
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.66	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)	2.24 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
57.3%

Daniel Evans
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roman Safiullin's performance.

Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Evans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Safiullin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Evans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	0%	61.1%

Roman Safiullin - Daniel Evans Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Evans will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Evans: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Safiullin has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Evans is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Safiullin will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Safiullin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Acapulco
27.02.24	Roman Safiullin - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
19.02.24	Daniel Evans - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.24	Roman Safiullin - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.24	Roman Safiullin - Tallon Griekspoor	2:3 ✺
ATP Brisbane
06.01.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Daniel Evans
ATP Acapulco
26.02.24	Daniel Evans - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
21.02.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	Daniel Evans - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
13.02.24	Daniel Evans - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.24	Daniel Evans - Lorenzo Sonego	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Los Cabos
19.02.24	Daniel Evans - Roman Safiullin	2:0
ATP Chengdu
22.09.23	Roman Safiullin - Daniel Evans	2:0
ATP Challenger
01.02.19	Daniel Evans - Roman Safiullin	2:1

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