Match Info

Date: 20 February 2020, Thursday


	Roman Safiullin		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.15
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.12
	1.67	2.23
	1.73	2
	1.61	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.94)	2.12 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
56.2%

Illya Marchenko
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roman Safiullin's performance.

Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Illya Marchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Safiullin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illya Marchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Roman Safiullin - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
19.02.20	Roman Safiullin - Sadio Doumbia	Safiullin R. retired ✺
16.02.20	Roman Safiullin - Roberto Marcora	2:0 ✺
15.02.20	Antoine Hoang - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
14.02.20	Roman Safiullin - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
13.02.20	Maxime Janvier - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 ?WWWW
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
19.02.20	Illya Marchenko - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
17.02.20	Illya Marchenko - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
12.02.20	Illya Marchenko - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
10.02.20	Illya Marchenko - Mats Moraing	2:0 ✺
19.01.20	Illya Marchenko - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.08.19	Roman Safiullin - Illya Marchenko	0:2

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