Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Taipei (Taiwan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 May 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Chitgar A. (Aus)


	Illya Marchenko		Hiroki Moriya

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.64	2.29
	1.65	2.3
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	2.22 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illya Marchenko
57.7%

Hiroki Moriya
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Illya Marchenko - Hiroki Moriya Predictions

Users Predictions: Illya Marchenko will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marchenko has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Moriya is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moriya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marchenko won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
06.05.24	Illya Marchenko - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
29.04.24	Illya Marchenko - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
23.04.24	Illya Marchenko - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
16.04.24	Illya Marchenko - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
11.04.24	James Duckworth - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
06.05.24	Hiroki Moriya - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
05.05.24	Hiroki Moriya - Li Tu	Canceled ✺
30.04.24	Hiroki Moriya - Maxime Cressy	0:2 ✺
29.04.24	Evgeny Donskoy - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Linang Xiao - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 L?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.02.20	Illya Marchenko - Hiroki Moriya	2:0

Illya Marchenko - Hiroki Moriya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide