Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PHOENIX (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 17 March 2023, Friday


	Roman Safiullin		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.83	1.98
	1.79	1.89
	1.84	2.06
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.56)	1.92 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
51.2%

Nuno Borges
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roman Safiullin's form might have worsened.

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuno Borges's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roman Safiullin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuno Borges, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Roman Safiullin - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Borges will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Safiullin is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Borges is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Borges could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
16.03.23	Roman Safiullin - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.23	Ilya Ivashka - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.23	Pavel Kotov - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
ATP Marseille
22.02.23	Arthur Fils - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
12.02.23	Mikael Ymer - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Nuno Borges
ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Nuno Borges - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.23	Nuno Borges - Pablo Andujar-Alba	1:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
02.03.23	Nuno Borges - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
28.02.23	Nuno Borges - Nick Chappell	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.02.23	Borna Gojo - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLWW

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