Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Amazon Prime Video


	Arthur Fils		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.71	2.1	Watch
	1.81	2.11
	1.8	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.73	2.11	Watch
	1.72	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.57)	2.11 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
54.7%

Roman Safiullin
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Fils's form might have worsened.

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roman Safiullin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Fils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roman Safiullin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Arthur Fils - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Fils will win (39 of 48 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.21% – 92.29%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fils will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fils won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Arthur Fils	Hurkacz H. retired ✺
02.07.24	Arthur Fils - Dominic Stephan Stricker	3:1 ✺
ATP Halle
21.06.24	Arthur Fils - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
19.06.24	Dominik Koepfer - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Arthur Fils - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 ?WLWW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.24	Tomas Machac - Roman Safiullin	1:3 ✺
03.07.24	Roman Safiullin - Francisco Cerundolo	3:2 ✺
ATP Halle
17.06.24	Fabian Marozsan - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
11.06.24	Roman Safiullin - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.24	Dusan Lajovic - Roman Safiullin	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marseille
22.02.23	Arthur Fils - Roman Safiullin	2:0
ATP Challenger
23.03.22	Arthur Fils - Roman Safiullin	2:0

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