Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Heraklion, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Rositsa Dencheva		Katharina Hobgarski

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.37
	1.44	2.15	Watch
	1.57	2.2
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.63)	2.25 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rositsa Dencheva
59.3%

Katharina Hobgarski
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rositsa Dencheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Katharina Hobgarski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rositsa Dencheva than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rositsa Dencheva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katharina Hobgarski than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Katharina Hobgarski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rositsa Dencheva - Katharina Hobgarski Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dencheva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dencheva is ranked WTA: 576. Hobgarski is ranked WTA: 287.

Dencheva is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hobgarski's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dencheva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dencheva might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dencheva won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rositsa Dencheva
ITF Tournaments
11.03.26	Selena Janicijevic - Rositsa Dencheva	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Rositsa Dencheva - Elena Korokozidi	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Darya Astakhova - Rositsa Dencheva	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Alena Kovackova - Rositsa Dencheva	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Rositsa Dencheva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWW
- Katharina Hobgarski
ITF Tournaments
11.03.26	Viktoria Veleva - Katharina Hobgarski	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Rositsa Dencheva - Katharina Hobgarski	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Katharina Hobgarski - Han Shi	Hobgarski K. retired ✺
28.01.26	Katharina Hobgarski - Micol Salvadori	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Sapfo Sakellaridi - Katharina Hobgarski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.03.26	Rositsa Dencheva - Katharina Hobgarski	2:1
05.04.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Rositsa Dencheva	0:2

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