Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday


	Rudolf Molleker		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.75	Watch
	1.95	1.76
	2.05	1.85
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.89	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.97)	1.79 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rudolf Molleker
48.1%

Mathys Erhard
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rudolf Molleker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rudolf Molleker than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rudolf Molleker that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mathys Erhard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Rudolf Molleker - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Molleker will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Erhard will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Molleker is ranked ATP: 477. Erhard is ranked ATP: 377.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Molleker may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rudolf Molleker
ITF Tournaments
12.06.26	Georgii Kravchenko - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
11.06.26	Dominik Recek - Rudolf Molleker	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Jan Hrazdil - Rudolf Molleker	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Tom Gentzsch - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Rudolf Molleker - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLW
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
08.06.26	Martin Krumich - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Faris Zakaryia - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Martin Krumich - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Taro Daniel - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Mathys Erhard - Stefan Dostanic	Dostanic S. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLW?

Rudolf Molleker - Mathys Erhard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide