Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday


	Ruslan Tiukaev		Zura Tkemaladze

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.67
	1.99	1.73
	2.29	1.59
	1.34	3.08	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.07	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.57)	1.92 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruslan Tiukaev
49.5%

Zura Tkemaladze
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruslan Tiukaev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ruslan Tiukaev's form might have worsened.

Zura Tkemaladze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zura Tkemaladze's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruslan Tiukaev than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ruslan Tiukaev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zura Tkemaladze than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zura Tkemaladze, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ruslan Tiukaev - Zura Tkemaladze Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tkemaladze (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Tiukaev is ranked ATP: 969. Tkemaladze is ranked ATP: 849.

Tiukaev has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tkemaladze has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tkemaladze may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruslan Tiukaev
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Ruslan Tiukaev - Aziz Ouakaa	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Ruslan Tiukaev	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Stefan Vedovelli - Ruslan Tiukaev	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Ruslan Tiukaev - Evgenii Tiurnev	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Ruslan Tiukaev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLW
- Zura Tkemaladze
ATP Challenger
20.07.25	Zura Tkemaladze - Olaf Pieczkowski	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.07.25	Zura Tkemaladze - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
26.06.25	Zura Tkemaladze - Mert Naci Turker	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	Zura Tkemaladze - Ali Yazdani	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Zura Tkemaladze - Paul Inchauspe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL

Ruslan Tiukaev - Zura Tkemaladze: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide