Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday


	Ryan Nijboer		Alexander Weis

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.4
	2.74	1.42
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.44)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Nijboer
34.9%

Alexander Weis
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Nijboer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Ryan Nijboer - Alexander Weis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Nijboer is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Weis is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Weis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Weis will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Weis to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nijboer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Nijboer
ATP Challenger
23.04.23	Stefano Travaglia - Ryan Nijboer	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.04.23	Ryan Nijboer - Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa	1:2 ✺
18.04.23	Ryan Nijboer - Aleksandr Braynin	2:1 ✺
12.04.23	Ryan Nijboer - Georgii Kravchenko	0:2 ✺
06.04.23	Ryan Nijboer - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLL
- Alexander Weis
ATP Challenger
23.04.23	Ergi Kirkin - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.04.23	Julian Ocleppo - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
20.04.23	Kai Wehnelt - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
19.04.23	Mikalai Haliak - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
18.04.23	Jakub Wojcik - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.11.22	Ryan Nijboer - Alexander Weis	0:2
04.06.21	Alexander Weis - Ryan Nijboer	0:2

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