Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia (Portugal), clay (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday


	Ryan Nijboer		Oleksandr Ovcharenko

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.91	1.43
	2.65	1.45	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.73	1.42	Watch
	2.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.17)	1.42 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Nijboer
34.2%

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Nijboer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryan Nijboer's form might have worsened.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oleksandr Ovcharenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryan Nijboer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oleksandr Ovcharenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Ryan Nijboer - Oleksandr Ovcharenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Oleksandr Ovcharenko will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nijboer is ranked ATP: 391. Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 332.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ovcharenko will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Nijboer
ATP Challenger
25.11.24	Lucas Bouquet - Ryan Nijboer	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Diogo Marques - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
17.11.24	Svyatoslav Gulin - Ryan Nijboer	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Ryan Nijboer - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
04.11.24	Michiel De Krom - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL
- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ATP Challenger
25.11.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Tomas Curras Abasolo	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.11.24	Gauthier Onclin - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
07.11.24	Jordan Correia - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLW

Ryan Nijboer - Oleksandr Ovcharenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide