Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 4 August 2025, Monday


	Ryan Nijboer		Sebastian Sorger

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.64	2.22
	1.27	3.52	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.64	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.6)	2.3 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Nijboer
58.7%

Sebastian Sorger
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Nijboer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sebastian Sorger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ryan Nijboer - Sebastian Sorger Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nijboer will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Sorger will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijboer: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ryan Nijboer will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

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Preview

Nijboer is ranked ATP: 430. Sorger is ranked ATP: 588.

Recent performances by Nijboer have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sorger is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sorger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nijboer will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Ryan Nijboer - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.36%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Nijboer
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Ryan Nijboer - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Remy Bertola - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
14.07.25	Ryan Nijboer - Nicolas Kicker	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.07.25	Ivan Gakhov - Ryan Nijboer	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Ryan Nijboer - Alec Deckers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW
- Sebastian Sorger
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Sebastian Sorger - Enzo Couacaud	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.07.25	Sebastian Sorger - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
28.07.25	Maximilian Figl - Sebastian Sorger	1:2 ✺
24.07.25	Johan Nikles - Sebastian Sorger	1:2 ✺
23.07.25	Sebastian Sorger - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWW

Ryan Nijboer - Sebastian Sorger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide